High-Level US-China Talks Signal Potential Biden-Xi Engagement Amid Election Uncertainty

Politics John Brightwater August 31, 2024

High-Level US-China Talks Signal Potential Biden-Xi Engagement Amid Election Uncertainty

High-level discussions between United States and Chinese officials are underway, with a focus on potential talks between President Joe Biden and President Xi Jinping in the near future. These discussions aim to enhance communications amid a backdrop of escalating tensions between the two nations. US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan has recently concluded a three-day visit to Beijing, during which he met with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi and General Zhang Youxia, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission. This meeting marked a significant moment as it was the first encounter of a US official with a Chinese military representative in this capacity since 2018.

The dialogues are part of a broader effort by both nations to mend the traditionally strained communication channels, even as relations continue to be challenged by various issues, including China’s assertive actions in the South China Sea and Taiwan, as well as US trade restrictions aimed at China. Notably, China is closely monitoring the forthcoming US elections, recognizing that a possible shift in administration could have profound implications for US-China relations.

Readouts from the discussions indicate that both sides are considering a call or summit between President Biden and President Xi in the upcoming weeks, despite the uncertainty of the US electoral outcome. The joint readouts from the meetings suggest an encouragement of maintaining open lines of communication, hinting at a potential future interaction between the two leaders.

During Sullivan’s meetings with Wang, there was an emphasis on initiating contact between military theater commanders from both countries. Such discussions are seen as a vital component in renewing regular military dialogues, which had seen a disruption prior to a previous meeting between Presidents Biden and Xi last November. These military talks come at a time of increased tension in the South China Sea, with notable confrontations between Chinese and Philippine vessels occurring in recent months.

Sullivan reaffirmed the US commitment to ensuring freedom of navigation in these contested waters and stressed the importance of stability regarding Taiwan. The discussions also addressed a range of pressing international concerns, including cybersecurity, the need for a ceasefire in Gaza, and China’s alleged support of Russia’s military efforts in Ukraine.

Historically, this marked the fifth occasion in which Sullivan and Wang have conferred over the past year and a half, a testament to their ongoing diplomatic engagement. While they acknowledged various areas for cooperation—such as addressing narcotic trafficking and ensuring safety in artificial intelligence—little substantive progress was made on deeper issues of contention.

Furthermore, as Australia and China navigate a complex relationship characterized by diverging interests, Sullivan reiterated the US stance on preventing the transfer of advanced technology to China, voicing concerns over alleged unfair Chinese trade practices.

The looming US elections undoubtedly contribute to a sense of cautiousness between the two powers, with experts suggesting both sides are in a ‘wait and see’ posture regarding potential policy changes. With significant international summits on the horizon, there remains a possibility for Biden and Xi to engage again as Biden approaches the latter part of his presidency.

In conclusion, as both the United States and China grapple with their respective political landscapes, the challenge of navigating their relationship remains critical. The efforts by high-level officials signal a desire for stability, understanding, and communication between these two global powers in an increasingly complex geopolitical environment.