QCP Capital Anticipates Reduced Bitcoin Volatility Amid Expected Fed Rate Cuts
Analysts at QCP Capital have projected a potential decrease in the volatility associated with Bitcoin prices as the market prepares for anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. They note that the recent U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) report and the forthcoming non-farm payroll data will significantly influence the cryptocurrency market’s dynamics.
In their analysis, QCP Capital emphasized that as the market approaches the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report, which is set to be released on Friday, September 6, a continued downtrend in market volatility is expected. This expectation stems from market participants positioning themselves for possible rate adjustments by the Federal Reserve. The non-farm payroll figures are crucial indicators that could affect the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, especially in light of the prior report indicating an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate to 4.3% from 4.1%, which triggered concerns of a global market downturn caused by fears that the Federal Reserve may be behind in its rate-cutting strategy.
Additionally, QCP Capital analysts have highlighted the importance of today’s GDP report, suggesting it may exert a more limited influence on Bitcoin’s price, unless it further substantiates the narrative of a decelerating U.S. economy. Although indications of economic slowing are present, the imminent threat of a recession remains uncertain.
Furthermore, the analysts pointed out that participants in the derivatives market appear to be hedging against potential short-term declines in both Bitcoin and Ether. They observed that risk reversals leading up to October seem to skew towards put options in both cryptocurrencies, reflecting ongoing caution within the market regarding possible downturns. As of the latest reports, Bitcoin has experienced a decline of 1% over the last 24 hours, trading at $59,500. Bitcoin’s market dominance stands at 53.9%, while Ether holds a 13.9% market share, as per CoinGecko data.
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