Bitcoin Price Outlook: Potential for Further Decline Amid Economic Adjustments
Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped over 8.50% following a record high of $108,230, primarily due to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate adjustments. With bearish technical indicators suggesting a potential retest of $89,000, traders should prepare for further declines amid a significant correlation with global money supply changes.
In the recent week, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced its most significant price drop, declining by over 8.50% after reaching a record high of $108,230. This downturn can largely be attributed to the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance on interest rates for 2025, where it lowered rates by 25 basis points to a range of 4.25-4.50%. The updated projections indicate a potential cut of only 50 basis points for 2025, which is a reduction from earlier forecasts. Despite a slight recovery following a favorable Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, Bitcoin’s outlook remains bearish due to ongoing technical indicators suggesting further downside risk. Currently, trading around $93,640, Bitcoin is poised to retest critical support at $89,000.
Technical evaluations indicate that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showcasing a bearish divergence, with diminishing momentum despite recent price peaks. Bitcoin has encountered significant Fibonacci retracement levels that highlight $89,000 as a vital support zone, whereas further support can be noted at $76,930 and $67,100. Moreover, a correlation between Bitcoin’s performance and the global money supply could further influence market sentiments, leading to decreased investor risk appetite as M2 statistics reveal a substantial decline.
Market analysis indicates that Bitcoin’s price tends to lag behind the M2 money supply changes, which may foresee a notable correction in the cryptocurrency’s value. With global M2 diminishing from $108.5 trillion to $104.4 trillion, a correction of approximately $20,000 in Bitcoin’s price could transpire. This price action is nearing crucial support levels impacted by short-term holders, with the most significant support found at a realized price of $60,501. This level marks an essential safety net for the asset in an environment of sustained bearish momentum.
The cryptocurrency market has been witnessing volatility influenced by macroeconomic factors, particularly the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decisions. As interest rates fluctuate, investor sentiment towards more volatile assets like Bitcoin is significantly affected. The recent decisions by the Fed not only prompted a marked decrease in Bitcoin’s value but also indicated a broader trend of caution among risk-averse investors regarding potential downturns in digital asset values during periods of economic tightening.
In summary, Bitcoin currently faces a challenging outlook characterized by a significant price decline and potential for further drops toward key support levels. The interplay between macroeconomic indicators, such as interest rates and the global money supply, continues to shape market sentiment. As Bitcoin approaches crucial technical thresholds, investors should brace for possible volatility as bearish trends remain pronounced within the market.
Original Source: www.fxempire.com
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