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Dante Raeburn
Market Analysis: Bitcoin Price Faces Significant Downside Risks
Bitcoin is facing potential price drops towards $74,000, attributed to the lack of transactions in the $75,000-$85,000 range and political uncertainties stemming from Trump’s trade policies. Recent declines have prompted analysts to suggest a sideways trading pattern, while losses related to Bitcoin ETFs indicate investor apprehensions. Despite this, some experts characterize the current market correction as healthy.
Recent analysis indicates that Bitcoin may experience significant price declines as the cryptocurrency hovers around $88,000. Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy Research, noted an “air pocket” between $75,000 and $85,000, suggesting limited transactions occurred in that range. Analysts believe Bitcoin could potentially retrace to its previous all-time high of $74,000.
James Check, a former analyst at Glassnode, echoed these sentiments in his newsletter, stating that the market is eager to gauge demand in this range. Recent volatility in Bitcoin’s price has been prompted by President Donald Trump’s aggressive trade policies, which initiated a notable market downturn. Following a peak above $100,000, the cryptocurrency has dropped almost 9% in the past week, influencing Ethereum and other assets such as Solana.
In the past week, Solana has seen a substantial decline, losing around 20% of its value amid concerns about memecoins on its platform. With Bitcoin’s recent downturn characterized by its rapid drop, some analysts are predicting a possible sideways trading phase known as “chopsolidation.” This follows a period where Bitcoin traded in a range of $55,000 to $75,000 for several months in late 2024.
Geoffrey Kendrick of Standard Chartered raised concerns about Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) operating at a loss of approximately $1.3 billion since the U.S. elections, indicating potential buyer’s remorse among investors. He stated, “These types of losses rarely end well and I still think the big capitulation is yet to come.” This situation suggests investors might begin to sell off their holdings to mitigate their losses.
Despite the sharp sell-off, Check described the current market corrections as a healthy pullback, as significant capital inflows into Bitcoin have occurred. Many investments were made above the $90,000 level, thus the market is currently undergoing a necessary reprieve to adjust. While the situation may cause investor anxiety, such corrections could lead to a more stable trading environment in the future.
The current market scenario for Bitcoin presents a complex mix of factors contributing to its fluctuating price, including political influences and investor sentiment. Analysts highlight the potential for a price drop toward the $74,000 mark due to a lack of trading activity in a specific price range. Concerns regarding massive losses in Bitcoin ETFs further exacerbate the cautious sentiment among investors, who may soon consider liquidating their holdings. Nonetheless, some experts assert that this pullback can be viewed as a healthy recalibration that the market needs to digest the substantial inflow of capital. Investors will be closely monitoring these developments as market dynamics continue to unfold.
Original Source: www.dlnews.com
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