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Nia Simpson
China’s Climate Goals: Challenges Ahead After Missing Key Target in 2024
China fell short of a crucial climate target in 2024, as emissions increased slightly, despite significant progress in renewable energy. The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 3.4 percent drop in carbon intensity, missing the 3.9 percent goal. Analysts express concern about the feasibility of meeting Paris Agreement commitments, especially with current industrial demands overshadowing clean energy expansion.
China has failed to meet a significant climate target in 2024, with emissions slightly increasing despite considerable advancements in renewable energy. According to official data from Beijing’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), carbon intensity saw a reduction of 3.4 percent, falling short of the government’s goal of 3.9 percent. This shortfall raises concerns about China’s ability to achieve an 18-percent reduction from 2020 to 2025, as it remains the world’s largest emitter of greenhouse gases and is currently off-track in fulfilling its commitments under the Paris Agreement.
Carbon emissions have increased slightly from the previous year, although less dramatically than in the past. Analysts ponder whether China is on the verge of reaching peak emissions ahead of its stated 2030 target. Nevertheless, expert Lauri Myllyvirta emphasized that meeting the objective of reducing carbon intensity by 65 percent relative to 2005 levels by 2030 presents substantial challenges, indicating, “This is a key test of China’s commitment to its pledges under the agreement.”
Despite its status as the largest greenhouse gas emitter, China stands as a leading force in renewable energy innovation. Plans are in place to reach peak carbon emissions by 2030 and achieve net-zero emissions by 2060; however, the current growth in industrial activities continues to hinder progress towards climate goals. Muyi Yang, a senior energy analyst at Ember, stated that the rapid industrial demand for energy exceeds the pace of clean energy infrastructure development.
The NBS report indicated a 4.3 percent increase in total energy consumption compared to 2023, with coal supplies constituting more than half of the energy mix, even as renewables have surged. As noted by Mr. Yang, “China is fast approaching the stage where all incremental electricity demand will be satisfied by renewable sources.” Crossing this threshold will suggest a potential decline in coal reliance over time.
Upcoming announcements regarding the 15th Five-Year Plan for 2026 to 2030, anticipated later this year from Beijing, are expected to clarify updated emissions and energy objectives. In February, China was also expected to present new emissions targets under the Paris Agreement, yet has missed the submission deadline, although UN officials anticipate an influx of such submissions later in the year.
In summary, China’s failure to meet its 2024 climate target highlights its ongoing struggle with carbon emissions, driven primarily by industrial growth and coal dependency. While the country is advancing in renewable energy, significant reform is necessary to align with international climate commitments. As China prepares for its upcoming Five-Year Plan and emissions targets, the global community remains watchful of its progress in reducing greenhouse gas emissions and transitioning toward sustainability.
Original Source: www.france24.com
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