Turkey is poised to capitalize on France’s military withdrawal from Africa, presenting new opportunities for influence. While Turkey expands its role through diplomatic and military means, experts caution against overextending resources. The shifting dynamics highlight Turkey’s potential to grow as a key player in the region, particularly in light of France’s declining reputation.

Turkey is strategically positioning itself to seize opportunities in Africa following the recent withdrawal of French military forces from the region. Analysts assert that France’s reduction of its military footprint, including the closing of its base in Côte d’Ivoire and the withdrawal from Chad, presents a significant opening for Turkey, an established NATO member and arms exporter. Experts caution, however, that Turkey must avoid overstretching its resources in its continental ambitions.

International relations expert Federico Donelli notes that Africa is undergoing a transformation, with traditional powers like France decreasing their involvement due to demands from local states. He highlights that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has proactively expanded Turkey’s presence, quadrupling its embassies across Africa over the past twenty years and capitalizing on shared religious ties with African nations, while drawing attention to France’s colonial legacy.

Turkey’s potential rise in Africa is also attributed to France’s failing efficacy in combating insurgencies. Elem Tepecikoglu of Ankara’s Social Sciences University emphasizes that the perception of France is deteriorating among regional leaders, who accuse French forces of ineffectiveness against terrorism. This sentiment, alongside Turkey’s defense agreements and military assistance in the Sahel, paves the way for Turkey’s influence to grow, as evidenced by its deployments in Chad.

The recent strengthening of military relations between Turkey and Senegal, illustrated by a significant meeting in Istanbul, signifies Turkey’s intent to deepen partnerships as Senegal advocates for the withdrawal of French troops. With Turkey’s arms industry offering competitively priced, battle-tested weapons to African nations such as Nigeria and Mali, its military products are gaining traction.

While Turkey aspires to expand its role in Africa, its presence still lags behind powerhouses like Russia, China, and the United States. Donelli points out that forming alliances with Turkey can be a politically safer choice for African states compared to aligning with other powers, thus enhancing Turkey’s diplomatic appeal.

Despite this, experts offer a cautious perspective on Turkey’s rapid expansion amidst the continent’s complexity. Professor Huseyin Bagci warns that operational overstretch could jeopardize Turkey’s ambitious initiatives as the nation must balance its limited economic resources against its expansive military and diplomatic initiatives, especially considering its economic challenges and the need for improved diplomatic relations with Europe.

In summary, Turkey is navigating a unique opportunity in Africa as France reduces its military presence, allowing Ankara to grow its influence. The shifting dynamics in international relations, characterized by deteriorating perceptions of France amidst security failures, suggest that Turkey’s existing military partnerships and arms sales may further position it as a favorable ally for African nations. However, the challenges of overstretching resources necessitate a prudent approach to ensure sustainable engagement across the continent.

Original Source: www.rfi.fr

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