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Southeast Asia Grapples with US-China Rivalry: A Need to Choose Sides

Southeast Asian nations are increasingly compelled to choose sides in the US-China rivalry, particularly in specific sectors. Experts advise the US to implement a sector-by-sector strategy to influence regional outcomes before China’s presence solidifies. This approach contrasts the traditional focus on swing states, advocating for emphasis on pivotal sectors instead.

In light of the ongoing US-China rivalry, Southeast Asian nations are increasingly recognizing the necessity of choosing sides in specific sectors. This observation was made during a hearing of a US congressional advisory panel. Despite their desire to remain neutral, these countries may find themselves compelled to make decisions that align them with either Washington or Beijing in strategic areas.

Experts, including Lynn Kuok from the Brookings Institution, indicated that Southeast Asian nations are reluctantly coming to terms with the idea that they might need to respond to specific issues by taking sides. This perspective underscores the urgent need for Washington to adopt a careful, sector-oriented strategy to effectively influence the region before Beijing establishes its foothold.

Prashanth Parameswaran of the Wilson Centre emphasized that the focus should shift from the traditional view of “swing states”—countries that are influential yet not firmly aligned with either power—to identifying “swing sectors.” This approach suggests a strategic framework for US engagement that prioritizes sectors crucial to regional stability and influence, rather than seeking to influence countries as whole entities.

The hearings highlighted a growing acknowledgment among Southeast Asian countries that they may need to choose sides in the US-China rivalry, particularly in key sectors. Experts recommend that the United States adopt a sector-by-sector engagement strategy to effectively navigate this complex situation and prevent Beijing from dominating regional choices.

Original Source: www.scmp.com

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