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Dante Raeburn
The Vital Role of Hindu Voters in Bangladesh’s Electoral Dynamics
Minority voters, representing five to fifteen percent of electorates globally, are crucial in determining election outcomes. In Bangladesh, Hindu voters, about eight percent of the population, continue to influence elections, traditionally supporting the Awami League despite ongoing challenges related to minority rights and persecution.
In democratic societies, minority voters significantly impact electoral outcomes, particularly when they make up between five to fifteen percent of the electorate. Such voting blocs can effectively determine the party that gains power. This trend is observable in multiple countries, including the United States, France, India, and the United Kingdom, where minority populations sway elections due to their numerical strength and voting preferences.
In the United States, minority voters, such as African Americans, Latinos, and Asian Americans, constitute nearly thirty percent of the electorate. Their participation was pivotal in securing Barack Obama’s presidential victories in 2008 and 2012. In India, minority voters represent around fifteen percent, holding significant sway in key states, including Bihar and West Bengal, particularly influencing parties such as the Indian National Congress and the Trinamool Congress. The United Kingdom also sees minority populations, mainly of South Asian and African descent, making up approximately fourteen percent, often favoring the Labour Party. Meanwhile, in France, the Muslim minority, accounting for about nine percent of the population, plays a crucial role in presidential elections, shaping the campaigns of candidates like Emmanuel Macron.
Hindu voters in Bangladesh, comprising roughly eight percent of the total population, hold similar importance in national elections. Despite a decrease in their percentage over the last fifty years, their absolute numbers have risen, from approximately 9.6 million in 1974 to about 13.5 million in 2022, according to Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics data. This demographic shift underscores the persistence of Hindu communities, even as their relative proportion in the population has diminished.
Traditionally, Hindu voters have leaned towards the Awami League, perceived as a pro-secular party committed to minority rights. However, incidents of persecution and communal violence against this group have continued even under Awami League governance. The party has consistently campaigned on a platform advocating secularism and the protection of minority rights, drawing on the legacy of the liberation war led by Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, which sought to establish a secular state in Bangladesh.
In summary, minority voters play a pivotal role in influencing electoral outcomes in democracies worldwide, as evidenced in various countries. In Bangladesh, Hindu voters are particularly significant despite their declining percentage in the population, as their increasing numbers still contribute to their impact on elections. The Awami League’s historic association with Hindu support showcases the intricate dynamics of party allegiance and minority rights, even as challenges remain prevalent for this community.
Original Source: www.sentinelassam.com
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