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Stalled Trade of Venezuelan Oil to China Due to U.S. Tariff Threats

Trade of Venezuelan oil to China has halted following a new U.S. order suggesting 25% tariffs on countries engaging in trading with Venezuela. Chinese traders are uncertain about their next steps, waiting for directives from Beijing. Although clarity is lacking, there is a belief that oil flows may continue if Beijing allows it. Additionally, China’s firm opposition to unilateral U.S. sanctions underscores the complexities of their trading relationship with Venezuela.

The trade of Venezuelan oil to China has stalled following a recent order from U.S. President Donald Trump, which threatens significant tariffs on countries purchasing oil from Caracas. This development introduces fresh uncertainties just days after new U.S. sanctions were imposed on China’s imports from Iran. Starting April 2, the U.S. may levy a 25% tariff on goods linked to Venezuelan oil imports at the discretion of the Secretary of State.

Chinese traders and refiners are currently awaiting clarity on the order’s implementation and any directives from Beijing regarding their purchasing activities. Industry insiders express a prevailing belief that oil flows might eventually be resumed despite the situation, citing the frequent alterations in Trump’s tariff threats. A key executive at a Chinese trading firm mentioned that they would avoid purchasing any shipments for April due to the prevailing uncertainty in the oil market.

Independently, another trading executive noted that the implementation of the order has generated considerable confusion, adversely affecting Singapore-based buyers of Venezuelan fuel oil. The chaotic nature of the situation is underscored by the ongoing tariff war between China and the U.S., further complicating the trading environment.

Notably, China stands as Venezuela’s largest oil buyer, receiving around 503,000 barrels per day, which covers 55% of Venezuela’s oil exports. Most of this oil is processed by smaller independent refiners, known as teapots, who lean towards purchasing the economical Merey grade in lieu of U.S.-sanctioned Iranian and Russian oil.

In response to the U.S. sanctions, China reiterated its stance against unilateral measures. A spokesperson from the foreign ministry criticized the U.S. for its interference and imposed additional tariffs since February, with further announcements of tariffs anticipated shortly. Unless Beijing intervenes to halt the purchase of Venezuelan oil, traders predict that refiners will explore means to continue their imports once clarity is achieved.

Despite the unfolding situation, some experts believe that the U.S. actions will have a limited effect on Chinese purchases, as many refiners prioritize market conditions over tariffs, maintaining that the U.S. moves violate free trade principles. Furthermore, reports indicate that direct shipments from China, linked to various deals, are still ongoing, ensuring the flow of Venezuelan oil continues amidst external pressures. Lastly, recent U.S. sanctions on key refiners that cater to Venezuelan oil close to Chinese interests highlight the complexities involved in this trading relationship.

In conclusion, the recent tariff threats from the U.S. government have created significant uncertainty in the trade of Venezuelan oil to China. While traders remain cautious and await clarity, the expectation is that if Beijing does not impose restrictions, oil flows may eventually resume. The ongoing geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China will likely continue to shape the dynamics of this trade relationship.

Original Source: www.usnews.com

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