Recent Developments in Sudan’s Civil War: A Turning Point or Continued Strife?
Recent battles in Sudan’s civil war saw the army reclaim control of Khartoum from the RSF, raising hopes for a shift in momentum. However, the ongoing conflict persists, and humanitarian conditions worsen, with millions displaced and food shortages increasing. Experts caution about the risk of fragmentation amid persistent power struggles between the warring factions.
The civil war in Sudan is approaching its second anniversary, with the Sudanese army and paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF) embroiled in continued conflict. Recently, the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) achieved substantial victories in Khartoum, especially by recapturing the airport and the presidential palace. Major General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan announced that the capital was “free” from RSF control, marking a significant shift in the ongoing conflict.
The recent victories may indicate a potential turning point in the war, as the army now aims to leverage its control over Khartoum for possible advantages in future negotiations. Previously, the RSF utilized the airport as a crucial supply route and a platform for propaganda, which the SAF’s announcements about Khartoum’s capture might alter significantly, changing international perspectives on the conflict.
Despite recent gains, the war is far from concluded. The animosity between the SAF and RSF over military integration remains unresolved, with both factions controlling substantial territories and continued clashes in Darfur and Kordofan. Civilians continue to be tragically affected, with increased air strikes resulting in numerous fatalities.
The humanitarian crisis in Sudan remains dire, with over 12 million individuals displaced and extreme food shortages impacting nearly 25 million people. Access to aid is severely restricted, and allegations of resource looting have surfaced against both sides. As a result, the collapse of Sudan’s health infrastructure has left millions in urgent need of support.
Experts warn that the ongoing strife could lead to de facto fragmentation of Sudan, reminiscent of South Sudan’s secession. The recent signing of a “founding charter” by the RSF raises alarms about the potential for partition, while international efforts to foster negotiations remain challenged by both factions’ refusal to compromise, suggesting a protracted conflict ahead.
In summary, the recent developments in Sudan’s civil war indicate significant military achievements for the Sudanese army while underscoring the enduring humanitarian crisis. The conflict remains unresolved, with both sides entrenched in their positions and no immediate prospects for peace or political settlement. Observers express concern about the potential fragmentation of the country, necessitating urgent international intervention and humanitarian support.
Original Source: www.aljazeera.com
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