Hun Sen’s Two-Pronged Strategy Aims to Destabilize Thailand, Says Source

Cambodia’s Senate President Hun Sen has developed a two-pronged strategy to destabilize Thailand. This tactic includes provoking international conflicts and fostering internal unrest within Thailand, primarily through attempts to undermine public trust in the current government. Future actions may escalate to the United Nations, potentially leading to significant political consequences in Thailand.

A high-level security source has revealed that Cambodia is employing a carefully developed “two-pronged strategy” under Senate President Hun Sen, aiming to provoke instability in Thailand. This strategy hinges on psychological tactics against influential figures in the Thai government and is said to be orchestrated by Hun Sen himself, overseeing everything from strategic directions to the timing of maneuvers.

The first element of the strategy is to entangle Thailand in an international conflict, which many perceive as a domain where Thailand struggles. With its historical ties to France, Cambodia is attempting to capitalize on its knowledge of international law by bringing cases before the International Court of Justice (ICJ) and hinting at escalating issues to the United Nations Security Council (UNSC).

While doing this, Cambodia is also actively engaging with ASEAN, despite former Thai Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra advising the ASEAN chair currently. Reports suggest that Hun Sen has pressed Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, the chair of ASEAN, to advocate for regional mediation regarding the Thai-Cambodian border dispute, circumventing traditional bilateral methods. The aim appears to be to pull Thailand into actions that could provoke a violent response, thus allowing Cambodia to escalate matters to international bodies.

Should Thailand dismiss the authority of the ICJ, Cambodia could lean on the UNSC to apply pressure or even sanctions—an advantage for Phnom Penh to exploit. The second part of this strategy focuses on inciting internal discord within Thailand. Hun Sen is reportedly leveraging relationships between Cambodia and the present Thai government, which is led by Thaksin Shinawatra’s daughter, to incite distrust and division within Thai society.

Starting with a leaked audio recording and photographs from a Cambodian location, this campaign aims to raise public suspicion regarding the closeness of the Thai leaders to Cambodia. This effort is directed at undermining public confidence in the ruling Pheu Thai-led coalition by promoting narratives of collusion between both current and former Thai prime ministers and Cambodia.

This has sparked fears among the Thai populace about potential undisclosed agreements, particularly concerning the rich natural gas fields in the Gulf of Thailand near Ko Kut Island. More leaks of private conversations or images are expected as part of the effort to stoke discontent and possibly mobilize anti-government groups against the current administration.

The ultimate goal appears to be triggering a dissolution of the House and calls for new elections. If the Pheu Thai Party wins again, it could reignite political tensions, especially among conservative factions and the military. Such an outcome might threaten another military coup, propelling Thailand into another period of instability.

The potential resignation of Prime Minister Paetongtarn could also provoke a political vacuum that would exacerbate the existing unrest. A high-level security source voiced that merely advocating for national unity while blaming Cambodia for provocations is not enough. Instead, the core of the crisis seems tied to the prime minister’s own actions and affiliations.

According to this source, “The most effective solution would be a leadership change. Replacing the prime minister and government leader—if feasible—would restore public confidence in managing the Cambodia crisis, demonstrating there are no hidden agendas or conflicts of interest.”

In summary, Cambodia’s two-pronged strategy, led by Hun Sen, aims to destabilize Thailand through international provocations and fomenting internal discontent. By leveraging legal avenues and sowing distrust within the Thai leadership, the strategy could have significant implications for Thailand’s political landscape. The calls for a leadership change suggest that the current government’s approach may not be sufficient to counter these tactics effectively.

Original Source: www.nationthailand.com

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