Cryptonews BITCOIN, BTC, CRYPTOCURRENCY, JOAO WEDSON, MARKET ANALYSIS, MARKET TRENDS, RICHARD WYCKOFF, WEDSON Nia Simpson June 23, 2025 0 Comments

Bitcoin’s Medium-Term Outlook: Four Scenarios That Could Shape Its Price Path

Analyst Joao Wedson presents four price scenarios for Bitcoin: a bullish prediction targeting $140K-$146K and three bearish scenarios indicating potential price declines. The market shows a 155.57% increase in trading volume but a minor decrease in open interest. Investors face risks from volatility and liquidity, with recent liquidations totaling $255 million.

In the complex landscape of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin’s trajectory is under the microscope. Analyst Joao Wedson has put forth four significant scenarios regarding Bitcoin’s price movement in the medium term, which are grounded on Richard Wyckoff’s price cycle analysis. With a bullish forecast suggesting a peak between $140,000 and $146,000, the market is bracing for various outcomes that could impact investor sentiment and trading strategies.

The first scenario presented by Wedson, often referred to as the Decay Cycle with an Altcoin Opportunity, indicates that Bitcoin could see a rally towards the upper end of that target. This scenario also suggests a possible surge in altcoin performance beginning in July, as traders may find new avenues to diversify their portfolios. Such developments hint at Bitcoin’s price cycles being more correlated with fundamental market trends than reactions to fleeting news.

Despite the potential for a bullish run, Wedson issued a cautionary note regarding three bearish scenarios. Each points to possible selling phases, suggesting that Bitcoin’s price may face downward pressure. These bearish trends may involve “bull traps” and liquidity hunts, which could lead to significant losses for investors willing to enter the market during a downturn.

Yet, Wedson remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s resilience against transitory market disturbances. Should the predicted bullish scenario materialize, it would suggest that Bitcoin’s cycles can withstand negative news. The view is that, while adverse events can impact short-term prices, Bitcoin still tends to follow its long-established price cycle, which could favor upward movement in the long term.

Examining market conditions, recent data shows a staggering 155.57% increase in Bitcoin trading volume, highlighting increased market activity at approximately $148.73 billion. However, there is a slight dip in open interest, dropping 0.10% to $67.33 billion. Interestingly, while the funding rate remains low at 0.0046%, indicating some investor hesitance, the past 24 hours saw liquidations totaling $255.07 million. Most of this involved long positions, emphasizing the need for caution among investors during this volatile period.

Further complicating the outlook, the bearish scenarios proposed by Wedson—termed 2, 3, and 4 Distribution Schematics—underscore a risk of significant volatility and market manipulation. If Bitcoin fails to maintain crucial support levels, it could enter a prolonged bearish trend, dragging prices lower and deeply affecting investor confidence.

Overall, while Wedson’s initial prospect of a price upturn presents an attractive narrative, the looming bearish scenarios serve as stark reminders of the inherent risks in crypto trading. Investors must closely monitor Bitcoin’s price behavior and liquidity conditions in the weeks ahead, as each scenario carries substantial implications for their trading strategies.

Joao Wedson’s four scenarios reveal a nuanced outlook on Bitcoin’s future, balancing optimism against caution. While the bullish outlook remains appealing, the presence of bearish warnings emphasizes potential pitfalls. Investors are advised to keep a close eye on market dynamics and liquidity trends, as these could significantly influence Bitcoin’s price trajectory in the near future.

Original Source: www.tronweekly.com