The Lowy Institute report reveals that Myanmar’s civil war persists largely due to ineffective sanctions and insufficient aid, while geopolitical fears hinder decisive action. The author, Morten Pedersen, urges for innovative approaches, advocating for ‘parallel state building’ as a necessary step forward.

Myanmar’s ongoing civil war continues to defy resolution amid ineffective sanctions and a lack of substantial aid. A report from the Lowy Institute highlights the inadequacies of current response strategies, attributing policymakers’ hesitance to fears of escalating geopolitical tensions between the United States and China. The author of the report, Morten Pedersen, calls for innovative approaches to address the crisis, advocating for parallel state building rather than relying solely on traditional sanctions and humanitarian assistance, which have proven insufficient to shift the dynamics of the conflict. For over three years, foreign governments have executed a limited strategy involving sanctions and minimal aid, yet the reality on the ground remains dire. The report emphasizes a need for more imaginative and decisive engagement with Myanmar, criticizing policymakers for their reluctance to explore alternative solutions to the prevailing state fragmentation. Pedersen notes, “It is hard not to conclude that there is also a lack of imagination in some policy circles, or at least insufficient will to try new things.”

The situation in Myanmar has been precarious since the military coup in 2021 which sparked widespread civil unrest and resistance. Policymaking responses from the international community have generally revolved around imposing sanctions and providing humanitarian aid. However, these strategies have not yielded significant changes and have been criticized for their lack of effectiveness. The tension between major powers, particularly the U.S. and China, has further complicated international responses to the Myanmar crisis, as countries are hesitant to become embroiled in geopolitical conflicts while addressing humanitarian needs.

In conclusion, the escalating civil war in Myanmar poses a complex challenge that has not been adequately addressed through traditional measures of sanctions and aid. The report from the Lowy Institute underscores the necessity for innovative policy approaches to effectively manage the crisis and promote stability in the region. Policymakers must overcome the apprehension of entering a proxy conflict while seeking to develop more comprehensive strategies for support and engagement.

Original Source: www.scmp.com

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