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US Federal Reserve Minutes Point to Potential September Rate Cut, Will Crypto Market Boost From It?

The recently released minutes from the July meeting of the US Federal Reserve have increased the likelihood of a rate cut in September. This development has sparked speculation of a potential rally not only in the broader financial sector but also in the cryptocurrency market. Predictably, the crypto market has responded positively to this news, with the price of Bitcoin briefly surpassing the $61,000 mark.

The minutes of the Federal Reserve have revealed a noticeable shift in the monetary policy stance towards a more accommodative approach. Officials have signaled their readiness to decrease interest rates in September, citing the need to stimulate economic growth and alleviate unemployment. The majority of meeting participants expressed their belief that a rate cut would be appropriate if economic data continued to support this decision. This potential rate reduction is significant as it would be the first since the emergency measures implemented at the start of the COVID-19 crisis.

It is important to note that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided to maintain rates at their current levels in July. However, some members expressed a desire to begin easing as early as that meeting. The minutes also revealed growing confidence among officials regarding the direction of inflation, indicating the preparedness of the US central bank to adopt a dovish stance in the presence of favorable economic conditions.

The discussion surrounding a 25 basis point reduction in interest rates suggests that many officials believe that delaying the easing process could potentially weaken the economy. The report also highlighted concerns about the rising risks of unemployment and a diminished outlook for economic growth in the latter half of 2024.

The acknowledgment of these economic challenges by the Federal Reserve has reinforced market expectations for a rate cut. It has also solidified the speculation of a potential rate reduction in September, as the market had been anticipating.

The release of the US Federal Reserve minutes saw a positive response in the crypto market, with the global crypto market cap experiencing a 2% increase to $2.14 trillion. Additionally, the price of Bitcoin witnessed a 3% surge, reaching over $61,000, while the price of Ethereum rose by 1.5% to $2,635. The market is now looking at a 62% probability of a 25 basis point cut by the US central bank in September, with the remaining percentage anticipating an even larger 50 basis point cut at the upcoming meeting.

Market optimism has been fueled by the anticipation of a September rate cut, with the crypto sector positioned to reap significant benefits. Lower interest rates have the potential to boost market confidence, leading to increased investor participation. This optimism could prompt traders to invest more in digital assets, driving up prices across the crypto market.

Following the release of the US Federal Reserve minutes, there was a 0.31% slip in the US dollar index to $100.982. Simultaneously, the US 10-year Bond Yield dropped 0.97% to 3.782. These fluctuations indicate the impact of the meeting minutes on the broader financial market.

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