Sudan faces severe violence with over 28,700 reported dead and 14 million displaced. The conflict is characterized by fierce fighting between SAF and RSF, territorial battles intensifying in key regions. Despite some military successes, peace negotiations remain elusive amidst foreign interference, which complicates the ongoing humanitarian crisis and prolongs hostilities.

Sudan has faced twenty months of brutal conflict, leading to over 28,700 reported fatalities, which may mask a true death toll estimated at 150,000. The war has forcibly displaced over 14 million individuals, accounting for over 30% of the population. Sudan is currently the fourth deadliest conflict globally, as documented by ACLED. The ongoing struggle between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) is largely driven by competing interests of their respective leaders, General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and Mohamed Hamdan ‘Hemedti’ Dagalo.

Recent shifts in the conflict indicate a significant escalation, with battles intensifying in Khartoum, al-Jazirah, and Darfur. The SAF has actively pursued operations to reclaim territory from the RSF, achieving critical victories in Sennar and Bahri. Conversely, the RSF remains resilient, continuing its siege in El Fasher, North Darfur, where it faces opposition from SAF-aligned forces. The role of local militias and ethnic groups has also complicated the conflict landscape.

Tensions within the RSF have become apparent, indicated by internal clashes and retaliation against specific ethnic groups following defections among its ranks. Airstrikes from the SAF have been a crucial aspect of the conflict, with the army increasing its aerial assaults across the country. External military support from countries like the UAE, Eritrea, and Egypt has contributed to the armed factions’ capabilities and prolonged hostilities.

In 2025, the Sudanese conflict stands at a crossroads, with no effective peace negotiations in sight. Despite military advances by the SAF, the RSF is expected to continue its offensive in Darfur while various regional armed groups may vie for power. The fragmented nature of these forces is likely to exacerbate violence, leading to further instability. The involvement of regional powers and local militias in this chaos underscores a troubling trend in the conflict.

The international influence, particularly from the UAE, adds another layer to the conflict dynamics. Their backing of the RSF aims to counter Islamist factions and secure economic interests, additionally impacting regional security. The UAE’s support appears to entrench divisions, sustaining the conflict and complicating peace efforts. As the war continues, potential peace initiatives may struggle against this backdrop of intensified fighting and foreign interference.

The ongoing conflict in Sudan is primarily characterized by clashes between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF). Beginning in April 2023, the struggle for control has led to catastrophic humanitarian crises, with large segments of the population displaced and in desperate need of assistance. The intricacies of this conflict stem from historical power struggles, ethnic tensions, and increasing foreign involvement, complicating any prospects for resolution and stability in the region.

In summary, the Sudanese conflict remains deeply complex and fraught with challenges as the SAF and RSF continue their violent confrontations. Humanitarian needs are escalating, with millions displaced and significant fatalities reported. As we move into 2025, fragmented authority and external meddling pose significant threats to peace and stability, underscoring the necessity for a renewed approach to conflict resolution.

Original Source: acleddata.com

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