Significant Decline in Foreign Direct Investment in China at Year Start
Foreign direct investment in China fell by 20.4% in early 2025 to approximately CNY 98 billion, the largest decline since 2009. This follows a record 27.1% drop in 2024, driven by weak foreign confidence and concerns over economic stability. However, potential government support and eased controls in the tech sector may improve future investment sentiment.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) in China experienced a notable decline in early 2025, decreasing by 20.4% year-on-year to approximately CNY 98 billion. This marks the steepest drop for this time of year since 2009. This downturn follows a record 27.1% fall in 2024, indicating a significant ongoing trend that dates back to data collection in 2008.
The current reduction in FDI is indicative of waning foreign confidence, particularly concerning major investments within China’s economy. Investors are increasingly apprehensive due to fears of a deflationary spiral and the perception that the government has been slow in rolling out stimulus measures. Furthermore, the lack of transparency in the balance sheets of both manufacturers and service providers contributes to investor unease.
Nonetheless, there are emerging signs of potential economic support from the government. Additionally, speculation regarding a potential easing of the Chinese Communist Party’s stringent controls over the technology sector has improved market sentiment, which may lead to increased portfolio investments in China. This change could later catalyze an uptick in direct investments as confidence rebuilds throughout the year.
In summary, China’s foreign direct investment has significantly declined in early 2025, reflecting ongoing concerns regarding economic stability and government responsiveness. Despite these challenges, indications of government support and potential relaxations in regulatory controls may foster improved investor sentiment, potentially reversing some of the negative trends observed in direct investment.
Original Source: www.tradingview.com
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